The UK doors and windows industry is forecast to grow by nearly 16% (15.83%) by 2029, according to a full market analysis by Barbour ABI.

The construction data specialist estimates that the UK doors and windows sector will be worth £638 million at manufacturers’ selling prices in 2025.

All market sectors are expected to see modest annual growth of around 2% in 2026 as recovery begins. From 2027 onwards, growth is set to accelerate, driven by efforts to meet housing targets and a surge in retrofit activity linked to tightening energy efficiency regulations.

Security and smart technology are key growth drivers for the sector. Rising demand for higher security standards, alongside increasing interest in smart access and electronic locking systems, is expected to support product innovation and boost market value in the years ahead.

Ed Griffiths, Barbour ABI Head of Business and Client Analytics, said: “The UK door and window fittings market continues to evolve, with security requirements, regulation and technology playing an increasingly important role in product specification.

"While the market remains highly competitive and reliant on international supply chains, there is clear momentum in higher-value segments, particularly in security and electronic access solutions.

"Door hardware remains the dominant part of the sector, reflecting the complexity of modern systems and the importance of security in both residential and commercial buildings. At the same time, technological innovation and changing building standards are creating new opportunities for suppliers able to deliver higher-specification, integrated solutions.”

Barbour ABI found that locks represent the largest product category, accounting for around 45% of total market value. This is driven by the complexity and cost of modern locking systems, including multi-point locks and emerging smart security products.

The sector remains highly dependent on imported products, with import values significantly exceeding exports. This imbalance highlights the UK’s reliance on overseas suppliers to meet demand, with many UK “manufacturers” operating production facilities abroad.

In 2024, EU imports totalled £137.9 million, while non-EU imports reached £189 million. This compares with exports of £56.6 million to the EU and £35.3 million to non-EU markets.

Swedish group Assa Abloy is the largest player in the industry, owning well-known brands such as Yale and Union, and maintaining a strong presence in the UK alongside its position as a global leader in access control systems. In 2022, Assa Abloy acquired Arran Isle (including Mila and Carlisle Brass), as well as Caldwell UK, which was integrated into the Yale brand in 2023, further strengthening its UK market position.